| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 30 2025 | L | Purdue | 0-31 | 1204.5 | -23.1 | 1181.4 | 33.9% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | L | Auburn | 3-42 | 1181.4 | -6.1 | 1175.3 | 9.6% |
| 4 | Sep 13 2025 | W | New Hampshire | 34-29 | 1175.3 | +0.0 | 1175.3 | 13.4% |
| 5 | Sep 20 2025 | L | UConn | 25-31 | 1175.3 | -17.0 | 1158.3 | 25.5% |
| 7 | Oct 4 2025 | W | Ohio | 20-14 | 1158.3 | +78.3 | 1236.6 | 5.9% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | L | Western Michigan | 0-42 | 1236.6 | -24.3 | 1212.3 | 35.5% |
| 9 | Oct 18 2025 | W | Akron | 42-28 | 1212.3 | +28.5 | 1240.8 | 59.0% |
| 10 | Oct 25 2025 | L | Northern Illinois | 7-21 | 1240.8 | -37.1 | 1203.7 | 51.5% |
| 12 | Nov 5 2025 | W | Kent State | 17-13 | 1203.7 | +25.0 | 1228.7 | 63.6% |
| 13 | Nov 15 2025 | L | Eastern Michigan | 9-24 | 1228.7 | -46.0 | 1182.7 | 46.2% |
| 14 | Nov 22 2025 | L | Toledo | 9-38 | 1182.7 | -12.4 | 1170.3 | 19.0% |
| 15 | Nov 29 2025 | L | Miami (OH) | 24-45 | 1170.3 | -8.9 | 1161.4 | 13.8% |